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Study on drought assessment and forecast method of
- CAO Sheng-le,WANG Yan-ling,YUN Ru-an
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JOURNAL OF SHANDONG UNIVERSITY (ENGINEERING SCIENCE). 2006, 36(2):
58-61 .
doi:
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Abstract
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Based on the singleobjective methods of drought assessment, a new comprehensive method for drought assessment and forecast was proposed. In this method, a fuzzy assessment and forecast model in constructed; and 4 factors——surface water, ground water, soil water and precipitation water were selected as main affecting factors for drought assessment and forecast. Using the data observed from 1972 to 2003 in Shandong Province, the droughts taken place during this period were assessed comprehensively, and the results, which can be used for droughtcountermeasure planning, accord with the reality of Shandong Province