Journal of Shandong University(Engineering Science) ›› 2025, Vol. 55 ›› Issue (5): 62-69.doi: 10.6040/j.issn.1672-3961.0.2024.219

• Electrical Engineering—Special Issue for Smart Energy • Previous Articles     Next Articles

Cloud-edge collaborative and graph neural network based load forecasting method for electric vehicle charging stations

DENG Bin1, ZHANG Zongbao1, ZHAO Wenmeng1, LUO Xinhang3*, WU Qiuwei3   

  1. DENG Bin1, ZHANG Zongbao1, ZHAO Wenmeng1, LUO Xinhang3*, WU Qiuwei3(1. Electric Power Research Institute, CSG, Guangzhou 510663, Guangdong, China;
    2. Shenzhen Power Supply Co., Ltd., Shenzhen 518001, Guangdong, China;
    3. Tsinghua Shenzhen International Graduate School, Tsinghua University, Shenzhen 518055, Guangdong, China
  • Online:2025-10-20 Published:2025-10-17

Abstract: Aiming at the problems of privacy protection, computational efficiency, and predictive accuracy in existing forecasting methods for electric vehicle charging stations, a cloud-edge collaborative and graph neural network based load forecasting approach was proposed. A privacy preserving module based on embedding is developed in the cloud, which reconstructs the input data through embedding transformation to prevent potential privacy leakage risks. A method for generating representation with graph structure based on clustering is proposed to provide additional spatiotemporal information and achieve more accurate forecasting. Personalized graph neural network forecasting models are designed for clients based on cloud's graph structure representation, enabling collaborative training of electric vehicle charging stations in different regions while protecting privacy. Experimental results on the Perth dataset demonstrate that the model outperforms benchmark methods in predictive accuracy and that the cloud-edge collaborative framework proposed in this study significantly enhances the performance of graph neural network algorithms in the task of load forecasting for electric vehicle charging stations.

Key words: cloud-edge collaborative, graph neural network, electric vehicle charging stations, load forecasting

CLC Number: 

  • TP391
[1] 杨挺,覃小兵,冯相为,等.计及用户充电行为与隐私保护的联邦学习电动汽车短期充电负荷预测[J].高电压技术, 2024, 50(10): 4512-4519. YANG Ting, QIN Xiaobing, FENG Xiangwei, et al. Short-term charging load prediction of federated learning electric vehicles after accounting for user charging behavior and privacy protection[J]. High Voltage Engineering, 2024, 50(10): 4512-4519.
[2] ZHANG C, SHEN H T, TAO P, et al. Electric vehicle charging pile capacity planning based on normal distribution Monte Carlo sampling model [J]. International Journal of Emerging Electric Power Systems, 2024, 25(2): 189-196.
[3] IEA. Global EV Outlook 2024[R/OL].(2024-04-23)[2024-05-17]. http://www.iea.org/reports/global-ev-outlook-2024
[4] KIM H J, KIM M K. Spatial-Temporal graph convolu-tional-based recurrent network for electric vehicle charging stations demand forecasting in energy market[J]. IEEE Transactions on Smart Grid, 2024, 15(4):3979-3993.
[5] AMINI M H, KARGARIAN A, KARABASOGLU O. ARIMA-based decoupled time series forecasting of electric vehicle charging demand for stochastic power system operation[J]. Electric Power Systems Research, 2016, 140:378-390.
[6] XU X B, LIU W X, ZHOU X, et al. Short-term load forecasting for the electric bus station based on GRA-DE-SVR[C] // Proceedings of 2014 IEEE Innovative Smart Grid Technologies-Asia(ISGT ASIA). Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia:IEEE,2014:388-393.
[7] MAJIDPOUR M, QIU C, CHU P, et al. Forecasting the EV charging load based on customer profile or station measurement?[J]. Applied Energy, 2016, 163:134-141.
[8] DABBAGHJAMANESH M, MOEINI A, KAVOUSI-FARD A. Reinforcement learning-based load forecasting of electric vehicle charging station using Q-learning technique[J]. IEEE Transactions on Industrial Informatics, 2020, 17(6): 4229-4237.
[9] VERMAAK J, BOTHA E C. Recurrent neural networks for short-term load forecasting[J]. IEEE Transactions on Power Systems, 1998, 13(1): 126-132.
[10] WANG S Y, ZHUGE C X, SHAO C F, et al. Short-term electric vehicle charging demand prediction: a deep learning approach[J]. Applied Energy, 2023, 340: 121032.
[11] 石立国,李延真,刘继彦,等.电动汽车充电站超短期充电负荷预测的改进GRU方法[J]. 供用电, 2023, 40(6):42-47. SHI Liguo, LI Yanzhen, LIU Jiyan, et al. An Improved GRU method for ultra-short-term charging load forecasting at electric vehicle charging stations[J]. Distribution & Utilization, 2023, 40(6): 42-47.
[12] ZHANG X, CHAN K W, LI H R, et al. Deep-learning-based probabilistic forecasting of electric vehicle charging load with a novel queuing model[J]. IEEE Transactions on Cybernetics, 2020, 51(6):3157-3170.
[13] 张延宇,张智铭,刘春阳,等.基于动态自适应图神经网络的电动汽车充电负荷预测[J].电力系统自动化,2024,48(7):86-93. ZHANG Yanyu, ZHANG Zhiming, LIU Chunyang, et al. Electric vehicle charging load prediction based on dynamic adaptive graph neural network[J]. Automation of Electric Power Systems, 2024, 48(7): 86-93.
[14] ZHANG Z B, HAO J, ZHAO W M, et al. Multiscale spatio-temporal enhanced short-term load forecasting of electric vehicle charging stations[C] // Proceedings of the 6th Asia Energy and Electrical Engineering Symposium(AEEES). Chengdu, China:IEEE, 2024:1180-1185.
[15] HOCHREITER S, SCHMIDHUBER J. Long short-term memory[J]. Neural Computation, 1997, 9(8): 1735-1780.
[16] WANG Y X, LIU M Q, BAO Z J, et al. Short-term load forecasting with multi-source data using gated recurrent unit neural networks[J]. Energies, 2018, 11(5):1138, 2018.
[17] ZENG A L, CHEN M X, ZHANG L, et al. Are transformers effective for time series forecasting?[C] // Proceedings of the AAAI conference on artificial intelligence. Washington, D.C., USA:AAAI, 2023:11121-11128.
[18] SHI J K, ZHANG W G, BAO Y, et al. Load forecasting of electric vehicle charging stations: attention based spatiotemporal multi-graph convolutional networks[J]. IEEE Transactions on Smart Grid, 2023, 15(3):3016-3027.
[1] Xiaoyan QI,Hengjie LIU,Qiuhua HOU,Xiaoyu LIU,Yanchao TAN,Liancheng WANG. Short-term load forecasting of iron and steel industry area based on combination model of SVM and LSTM [J]. Journal of Shandong University(Engineering Science), 2021, 51(4): 91-98.
[2] CHE Changming, ZHANG Huadong, LI Jianxiang, YUAN Hong, LIU Haibo. Optimization dispatch control strategy for charging load of large-scale electric vehicle on demand side [J]. JOURNAL OF SHANDONG UNIVERSITY (ENGINEERING SCIENCE), 2017, 47(6): 108-114.
[3] HAN Xueshan, WANG Junxiong, SUN Donglei, LI Wenbo, ZHANG Xinyi, WEI Zhiqing. Nodal load forecasting method considering spatial correlation and redundancy [J]. JOURNAL OF SHANDONG UNIVERSITY (ENGINEERING SCIENCE), 2017, 47(6): 7-12.
[4] LI Sun, WANG Chao, ZHANG Guilin, XU Zhigen, CHENG Tao, WANG Yiyuan, WANG Ruiqi. Short-term power load forecasting based on support vector regression [J]. JOURNAL OF SHANDONG UNIVERSITY (ENGINEERING SCIENCE), 2017, 47(6): 52-56.
[5] MA Qing, LI Qiqiang*. Public buildings baseline load forecasting based on demand
response in electric power
[J]. JOURNAL OF SHANDONG UNIVERSITY (ENGINEERING SCIENCE), 2011, 41(2): 114-118.
Viewed
Full text


Abstract

Cited

  Shared   
  Discussed   
[1] WANG Su-yu,<\sup>,AI Xing<\sup>,ZHAO Jun<\sup>,LI Zuo-li<\sup>,LIU Zeng-wen<\sup> . Milling force prediction model for highspeed end milling 3Cr2Mo steel[J]. JOURNAL OF SHANDONG UNIVERSITY (ENGINEERING SCIENCE), 2006, 36(1): 1 -5 .
[2] ZHANG Yong-hua,WANG An-ling,LIU Fu-ping . The reflected phase angle of low frequent inhomogeneous[J]. JOURNAL OF SHANDONG UNIVERSITY (ENGINEERING SCIENCE), 2006, 36(2): 22 -25 .
[3] LI Kan . Empolder and implement of the embedded weld control system[J]. JOURNAL OF SHANDONG UNIVERSITY (ENGINEERING SCIENCE), 2008, 38(4): 37 -41 .
[4] SHI Lai-shun,WAN Zhong-yi . Synthesis and performance evaluation of a novel betaine-type asphalt emulsifier[J]. JOURNAL OF SHANDONG UNIVERSITY (ENGINEERING SCIENCE), 2008, 38(4): 112 -115 .
[5] KONG Xiang-zhen,LIU Yan-jun,WANG Yong,ZHAO Xiu-hua . Compensation and simulation for the deadband of the pneumatic proportional valve[J]. JOURNAL OF SHANDONG UNIVERSITY (ENGINEERING SCIENCE), 2006, 36(1): 99 -102 .
[6] LAI Xiang . The global domain of attraction for a kind of MKdV equations[J]. JOURNAL OF SHANDONG UNIVERSITY (ENGINEERING SCIENCE), 2006, 36(1): 87 -92 .
[7] YU Jia yuan1, TIAN Jin ting1, ZHU Qiang zhong2. Computational intelligence and its application in psychology[J]. JOURNAL OF SHANDONG UNIVERSITY (ENGINEERING SCIENCE), 2009, 39(1): 1 -5 .
[8] LI Liang, LUO Qiming, CHEN Enhong. Graph-based ranking model for object-level search
[J]. JOURNAL OF SHANDONG UNIVERSITY (ENGINEERING SCIENCE), 2009, 39(1): 15 -21 .
[9] CHEN Rui, LI Hongwei, TIAN Jing. The relationship between the number of magnetic poles and the bearing capacity of radial magnetic bearing[J]. JOURNAL OF SHANDONG UNIVERSITY (ENGINEERING SCIENCE), 2018, 48(2): 81 -85 .
[10] WANG Bo,WANG Ning-sheng . Automatic generation and combinatory optimization of disassembly sequence for mechanical-electric assembly[J]. JOURNAL OF SHANDONG UNIVERSITY (ENGINEERING SCIENCE), 2006, 36(2): 52 -57 .