新能源爬坡事件综述及展望

doi:10.6040/j.issn.1672-3961.0.2020.287

摘要/Abstract

摘要：

从爬坡的定义方式、预测方法、控制策略三个层面出发, 对以风电、光伏为代表的新能源爬坡事件进行概述。列举爬坡事件常用的定义并分析其优劣性; 总结爬坡事件目前主流的预测方法，根据是否利用功率预测结果分为直接法和间接法, 并对常用的评价指标进行介绍; 阐述目前爬坡控制策略常用的方法, 按照有无储能参与分为无储能参与的有限度控制策略和有储能参与的联合控制; 对目前研究仍存在的问题和未来重点研究方向进行总结。

关键词: 风电爬坡事件, 光伏爬坡事件, 爬坡预测, 有限度控制, 储能控制

Abstract:

This article elaborated the wind and solar power ramp events from the three levels: the definition, prediction method and control strategy. The common definitions of wind and solar ramp were listed, and their advantages and disadvantages were analyzed in turn. It summarized the current mainstream prediction methods of ramp events, which were divided into direct method and indirect method according to whether the power prediction results were used, and the commonly used evaluation indicators were evaluated. It elaborated the current commonly used methods of control strategy, taking energy storage participation as a division, it was divided into finite control strategy without energy storage participation and infinite control strategy with energy storage participation. The current research problems and key research directions in the future were summarized and prospected.

Key words: wind power ramp event, solar power ramp event, ramp forecasting, finite control strategy, energy storage control

中图分类号:

TM71

韩学山,王心仪,杨明,于一潇. 新能源爬坡事件综述及展望[J]. 山东大学学报 (工学版), 2021, 51(5): 53-62.

Xueshan HAN,Xinyi WANG,Ming YANG,Yixiao YU. Review and prospect of renewable energy ramp events[J]. Journal of Shandong University(Engineering Science), 2021, 51(5): 53-62.

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类型	事件观测真	事件观测假	总计
事件预测真	TP	FP	预测真
事件预测假	FN	TN	预测假
总计	观测真	观测假

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