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山东大学学报 (工学版) ›› 2024, Vol. 54 ›› Issue (4): 86-94.doi: 10.6040/j.issn.1672-3961.0.2023.287

• 机器学习与数据挖掘 • 上一篇    

基于自适应线性模型的环境数据预测算法

王凤娟1,王语睿2,卫兰3,4*,范存群3,4,徐晓斌2   

  1. 1. 山东省东明县气象局综合气象业务科, 山东 菏泽 274500;2. 北京工业大学计算机学院, 北京 100124;3. 中国气象局中国遥感卫星辐射测量和定标重点开放实验室/国家卫星气象中心(国家空间天气监测预警中心), 北京 100081;4. 许健民气象卫星创新中心, 北京 100081
  • 发布日期:2024-08-20
  • 作者简介:王凤娟(1973— ),女,山东东明人,工程师,主要研究方向为气象数据挖掘及气象数据处理. E-mail: dmxwangfengjuan@163.com. *通信作者简介:卫兰(1980— ),女,江苏姜堰人,高级工程师,主要研究方向为气象数据挖掘及卫星数据处理. E-mail: weilan@cma.cn
  • 基金资助:
    国家重点研发计划资助项目(2021YFB3901000,2021YFB3901005);风云星应用先行计划资助项目(FY-APP-20210501)

Environmental data prediction algorithm based on adaptive linear model

WANG Fengjuan1, WANG Yurui2, WEI Lan3,4*, FAN Cunqun3,4, XU Xiaobin2   

  1. 1. Comprehensive Meteorological Operation Section, Dongming County Meteorological Bureau of Shandong Province, Heze 274500, Shandong, China;
    2. College of Computer Science, Beijing University of Technology, Beijing 100124, China;
    3. Key Laboratory of Radiometric Calibration and Validation for Environmental Satellites, National Satellite Meteorological Center(National Center for Space Weather), China Meteorological Administration, Beijing 100081, China;
    4. Innovation Center for FengYun Meteorological Satellite(FYSIC), Beijing 100081, China
  • Published:2024-08-20

摘要: 针对环境大数据在智慧城市应用中的实时性和准确性问题,提出一种基于自适应线性模型的环境数据预测算法。根据气象数据的实时变化情况对模型进行训练,自适应调整训练窗口大小,并在训练态与预测态之间动态实时切换,使模型具有较强的适应环境的能力。该算法具有较低的时延和较小的计算开销,可以在传感器节点上直接部署,满足数据预测的实时性需求。在真实环境数据集的基础上构建仿真试验,相比固定窗口模型,该算法数据预测误差降低17.4%以上,环境数据采集能耗降低80%以上,平均时延降低超过50%;相比已有的机器学习算法,训练及预测时间降低37%以上。

关键词: 智慧城市, 环境大数据, 边缘服务, 线性预测, 节能减排

中图分类号: 

  • TP3
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[1] 王历,高阳,王巍巍. 预测状态表示综述[J]. 山东大学学报(工学版), 2010, 40(4): 23-28.
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