JOURNAL OF SHANDONG UNIVERSITY (ENGINEERING SCIENCE) ›› 2014, Vol. 44 ›› Issue (1): 85-89.doi: 10.6040/j.issn.1672-3961.0.2012.261

• Articles • Previous Articles     Next Articles

Wind power prediction based on time-series and BP-ANN

MA Chang-hui1, FENG Jiang-xia2, JIANG Zhe1, WU Nai-hu1, L Xiao-lu3   

  1. 1. Shandong Electric Power Research Institute, Jinan 250002, China;
    2. Weifang Power Supply Bureau, Weifang 261021, China;
    3. School of Electrical Engineering, Shandong University, Jinan 250061, China
  • Received:2012-09-10 Online:2014-02-20 Published:2012-09-10

PDF (PC)

1705

Abstract:

To solve the problem that non-linear relationship between wind speed and wind power could amplify prediction error, the improved model for wind speed and wind power forecasting in short term was proposed based on time series and back propagation artificial neural network (BPANN). First, the time series model was built to forecast wind speed. Then the BP-ANN model of wind speed-to-power was set up and the predicted wind speed was input into the model to obtain wind power. Taking a wind power plant as an example, mean absolute error and correlation index of the improved model and the conventional model were compared, and the result showed that the improved model could improve wind power forecasting accuracy.

Key words: wind power generation, wind speed, BP-ANN, wind power, time series

[1] Chuncheng LIU,Qingxun TENG. Dynamic response parameters of wind turbine under thunderstorm downburst [J]. Journal of Shandong University(Engineering Science), 2023, 53(6): 108-121.
[2] Xinzhang WU,Xiangyu LIANG,Hongyu ZHU,Dongdong ZHANG. Short-term wind power prediction based on CEEMDAN-GRA-PCC-ATCN [J]. Journal of Shandong University(Engineering Science), 2022, 52(6): 146-156.
[3] Wensheng LI, Xian WANG, Yuanze MI, Yongji CAO, Xiaoming LIU, Hengxu ZHANG, Zihan LIU. Method for generation planning with the temporal and spatial correlation of wind and solar power [J]. Journal of Shandong University(Engineering Science), 2022, 52(1): 111-119.
[4] Xueshan HAN,Xinyi WANG,Ming YANG,Yixiao YU. Review and prospect of renewable energy ramp events [J]. Journal of Shandong University(Engineering Science), 2021, 51(5): 53-62.
[5] GE Weichun, LI Zhao, ZHAO Dong, LI Zhenyu, YE Qing, FU Yu, YU Na. Comprehensive benefits analysis of power supply side of regional power grid with electrode-type electric boiler [J]. Journal of Shandong University(Engineering Science), 2020, 50(5): 90-98.
[6] Shizhan SONG,Chuanyong WANG,Wenwen KANG,Jian ZHANG,Honghua YAN,Peng LI. Wind and PV installed capacity optimization with hybrid uncertainty of renewable energy [J]. Journal of Shandong University(Engineering Science), 2018, 48(6): 101-108.
[7] Shizhan SONG,Chuanyong WANG,Wenwen KANG,Jian ZHANG,Honghua YAN,Peng LI. PV installed capacity planning for power distribution network based on time series production simulation [J]. Journal of Shandong University(Engineering Science), 2018, 48(5): 131-136.
[8] HE Zhengyi, ZENG Xianhua, GUO Jiang. An ensemble method with convolutional neural network and deep belief network for gait recognition and simulation [J]. JOURNAL OF SHANDONG UNIVERSITY (ENGINEERING SCIENCE), 2018, 48(3): 88-95.
[9] WANG Fei, XU Jian, LI Wei, WANG Xinhao, SHI Xiaohan. Rolling optimal dispatch method of wind power based on distributed energy storage system [J]. JOURNAL OF SHANDONG UNIVERSITY (ENGINEERING SCIENCE), 2017, 47(6): 89-94.
[10] HE Zhengyi, ZENG Xianhua, QU Shengwei, WU Zhilong. The time series prediction model based on integrated deep learning [J]. JOURNAL OF SHANDONG UNIVERSITY (ENGINEERING SCIENCE), 2016, 46(6): 40-47.
[11] TAO Zhiwei, ZHANG Li. Time series classification using piecewise vector quantized approximation based on Mahalanobis distance [J]. JOURNAL OF SHANDONG UNIVERSITY (ENGINEERING SCIENCE), 2016, 46(3): 51-57.
[12] WANG Huiqing, SUN Hongwei, ZHANG Jianhui. Time series similarity searching algorithm based on Map/Reduce [J]. JOURNAL OF SHANDONG UNIVERSITY (ENGINEERING SCIENCE), 2016, 46(1): 15-21.
[13] CHEN Li-ning, JIN Yi-cheng, REN Hong-xiang, YIN Yong. On comparison and selection of the wave spectrum in realtime rendering of the irregular ocean wave [J]. JOURNAL OF SHANDONG UNIVERSITY (ENGINEERING SCIENCE), 2013, 43(6): 47-52.
[14] JING Ye-fei1, XU Bei-bei2, ZHANG Cheng-hui1*, LI Ke1, CHU Xiao-guang1. Maximum power point tracking control of wind energy based on pattern search [J]. JOURNAL OF SHANDONG UNIVERSITY (ENGINEERING SCIENCE), 2013, 43(5): 44-48.
[15] JING Ye-fei1, ZHANG Cheng-hui1*, XU Bei-bei, LI Ke1, CHU Xiao-guang1. An output power optimization method based on impedance matching for a small wind generation system [J]. JOURNAL OF SHANDONG UNIVERSITY (ENGINEERING SCIENCE), 2013, 43(5): 39-43.
Viewed
Full text


Abstract

Cited
  Shared   
  Discussed   
[1] LI Kan . Empolder and implement of the embedded weld control system[J]. JOURNAL OF SHANDONG UNIVERSITY (ENGINEERING SCIENCE), 2008, 38(4): 37 -41 .
[2] LAI Xiang . The global domain of attraction for a kind of MKdV equations[J]. JOURNAL OF SHANDONG UNIVERSITY (ENGINEERING SCIENCE), 2006, 36(1): 87 -92 .
[3] YU Jia yuan1, TIAN Jin ting1, ZHU Qiang zhong2. Computational intelligence and its application in psychology[J]. JOURNAL OF SHANDONG UNIVERSITY (ENGINEERING SCIENCE), 2009, 39(1): 1 -5 .
[4] CHEN Rui, LI Hongwei, TIAN Jing. The relationship between the number of magnetic poles and the bearing capacity of radial magnetic bearing[J]. JOURNAL OF SHANDONG UNIVERSITY (ENGINEERING SCIENCE), 2018, 48(2): 81 -85 .
[5] WANG Bo,WANG Ning-sheng . Automatic generation and combinatory optimization of disassembly sequence for mechanical-electric assembly[J]. JOURNAL OF SHANDONG UNIVERSITY (ENGINEERING SCIENCE), 2006, 36(2): 52 -57 .
[6] ZHANG Ying,LANG Yongmei,ZHAO Yuxiao,ZHANG Jianda,QIAO Peng,LI Shanping . Research on technique of aerobic granular sludge cultivationby seeding EGSB anaerobic granular sludge[J]. JOURNAL OF SHANDONG UNIVERSITY (ENGINEERING SCIENCE), 2006, 36(4): 56 -59 .
[7] Yue Khing Toh1， XIAO Wendong2， XIE Lihua1. Wireless sensor network for distributed target tracking: practices via real test bed development[J]. JOURNAL OF SHANDONG UNIVERSITY (ENGINEERING SCIENCE), 2009, 39(1): 50 -56 .
[8] WANG Jing,LI Yu-jiang,ZHANG Xiao-jin,BI Yan-jun,CHEN Wei-suo . [J]. JOURNAL OF SHANDONG UNIVERSITY (ENGINEERING SCIENCE), 2006, 36(6): 100 -103 .
[9] SUN Weiwei， WANG Yuzhen. Finite gain stabilization of singlemachine infinite bus system subject to saturation[J]. JOURNAL OF SHANDONG UNIVERSITY (ENGINEERING SCIENCE), 2009, 39(1): 69 -76 .
[10] SUN Yu-li,LI De-fa,ZUO Dun-wen,QI mei . [J]. JOURNAL OF SHANDONG UNIVERSITY (ENGINEERING SCIENCE), 2006, 36(6): 19 -23 .
Copyright 2018 © Editorial office of Journal of Shandong University (Engineering Science)
Supported by Beijing Magtech Co.Ltd