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山东大学学报(工学版) ›› 2014, Vol. 44 ›› Issue (4): 22-30.doi: 10.6040/j.issn.1672-3961.0.2014.003

• 控制科学与工程 • 上一篇    下一篇

基于改进粒子群优化神经网络的房地产市场预测

花景新1,2, 薄煜明1, 陈志敏1   

  1. 1. 南京理工大学自动化学院, 江苏 南京 210094;  2. 山东城市建设职业学院, 山东 济南 250103
  • 收稿日期:2014-01-06 修回日期:2014-07-02 发布日期:2014-01-06
  • 通讯作者: 薄煜明（1965-），男，江苏常熟人，研究员，博导，主要研究方向系统工程与智能优化算法.E-mail：byming@mail.njust.edu.cn E-mail:byming@mail.njust.edu.cn
  • 作者简介:花景新（1964-），男，山东济南人，教授，博士，主要研究方向为房地产市场研究与智能算法.E-mail：sdhuajx@163.com
  • 基金资助:
    国家自然科学基金资助项目（61104109）；教育部博士点基金资助项目（20113219110027）；江苏省自然科学基金资助项目（BK2011703）；江苏省科技支撑与自主创新基金资助项目（BE2012178）

Forecasting of real estate market based on particle swarm optimized neural network

HUA Jingxin1,2, BO Yuming1, CHEN Zhimin1   

  1. 1. School of Automation, Nanjing University of Science and Technology, Nanjing 210094, Jiangsu, China;  2. Shandong Urban Construction Vocational College, Jinan 250103, Shandong, China
  • Received:2014-01-06 Revised:2014-07-02 Published:2014-01-06

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摘要： 针对粒子群优化算法精度不高、容易陷入局部最优、难以满足房地产市场形势需求的问题，提出一种改进粒子群优化神经网络，并应用于房地产市场预测中，该算法将混沌引入粒子群优化神经网络算法权重和阈值的初始化与更新的过程，提高了初始样本的质量，减轻了局部极值现象，提高了算法的全局搜索能力，同时设置了躲避因子，使粒子一定程度上离开偏离真实值的区域。研究结果表明，提出的改进算法可以提高粒子群优化神经网络权重和阈值的准确性。

关键词: 权重, 粒子群优化, 混沌, 阈值, 神经网络

Abstract: Particle swarm optimization (PSO) had the defects of low precision, and that were easily to be trapped in local optimization. To solve these problems, an neural network based on improved PSO was proposed for forecasting the real estate market. This algorithm introduced chaos sequence to update the weight and threshold, which could improve the quality of samples, reduce the local optimization and enhance the global searching ability. In addition, the avoid factor was set, which could make the particles be away from low likelihood area. Simulation results showed that this algorithm improved the accuracy of the weight and threshold.

Key words: threshold, particle swarm optimization, neural network, chaos, weight

中图分类号: 

  • TP273
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